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"Distributed generation hurts utilities!" cry electric
company engineers who believe that haphazardly sited engines
threaten grid safety. The result: Prohibitively high connection
charges are imposed.
"DG really helps utilities," say others, including
rate-setting commissioners in California and New York in 2004,
the US Department of Energy, assorted consumer advocacy groups,
and the DG industry.
Which view is right?
Perhaps
there's a better question: Which side can back up its claim
with compelling, reliable facts? Both sides have struggled
with the complexities of quantifying potential benefits or
harm and yielding solid, credible data. Both sides offer sweeping
but "basically unsubstantiated" claims, observes
Peter Evans, CEO of New Power Technologies (NPT) in Los Altos
Hills, CA. NPT develops management solutions for the power
industry. Missing from the debate, however, were methodologies
for serious DG impact studies, resource optimization analysis,
and comparative technology assessments. Until recently, Evans
points out, no one had been able to solve puzzles like right-sizing
DG resources (from the grid's standpoint), where resources
should go, or what actual dollar value they would bring to
the utility company.
All of this has now radically changed. During 20032004,
NPT led a research team that produced a landmark study in
nearby Silicon Valley showing these critical issues can indeed
be addressed reliablyprobably for the first time ever.
Along with Evans and NPT, 10 other co-participants included
Optimal Technologies Inc. of Benicia, CA, which provided principal
optimization technology and services for the study; Cupertino
Electric, which assisted in developing the system model; the
Silicon Valley Manufacturing Group (SVMG); and consultancies
Rita Norton & Associates, William M. Stephenson, and Roy
Skinner. Funding for the study, and strong state-level encouragement,
came from the Public Interest Energy Research (PIER) program
within the California Energy Commission (CEC), both of which
have long been major sponsors and benefactors of DG-related
research and development (R&D).
To serve as a test-case system for undertaking this DG-on-grid
analysis, Evans and the SVMG solicited the participation of
Silicon Valley Power (SVP), a municipal network of 850 buses
serving the city of Santa Clara. SVP's transmission backbones
include two 115-kV main feeds, a 60-kV transmission system,
and 48 or more distribution feeders of 12 kV, lightly loaded
off of about 422 customer locations. That works out, Evans
notes, to nearly 1,000 line segments with 106 switchable branches
connecting them, 101 switchable capacitors, and six onsite
generators with megawatt and megavar capability already in
the mix.
What the Study
Found
After several months of studying grid optimization
with DG sets, Evans issued his report to the CEC, from which
the following summary and discussion is adapted. In essence,
researchers learned that, indeed, small generators sited strategically
on the distribution system would yield potentially tremendous
improvements to system efficiency. Moreover, further gains
and benefits would accrue to the interconnected transmission
system. DG's value to both would be realized not only by the
additional reserve power provided, but, even more so, from
DG's ability to ease power delivery across hundreds of strained,
occasionally redundant, energy-sapping distribution lines.
In any grid system, hundreds and even thousands of kilowatts
are squandered in the task of moving amps across needlessly
long distances squeezing through local bottlenecks and loop
flows. The results: weaker voltage profiles, voltage instability,
and poor power quality. Properly positioned DG can greatly
reduce system congestion and curtail waste of this sort. The
potential savings should readily cost-justify, and subsidize,
many cogen investments.
For example, as the report notes, unstable voltage must often
be boosted to maintain a sufficient minimum. But if more stable
distribution system voltages could be achieveda potential
byproduct of many DG projectsit would reduce the need
for wasteful over-amping.
Moreover, researchers found that system voltage stability
is closely linked to optimal distribution of the system's
reactive power resources, or var. What impact does DG have
here? The question can now be answered using breakthrough
software from Optimal Technologies called AEMPFAST (pronounced
"aim-fast"). Using this tool, Evans' team evaluated
and quantified both active (kilowatt and megawatt) and reactive
(var and MVar) power flows and events that could lead to cost-justifiable
DG sites. Evans' conclusion: "There's a lot
more you can do with reactive power," he says, "from
a distributed generator, toward providing system benefits."
Sharing Benefits
With Adopters
What this insight also suggests
is that a prospective DG adopter whose generator might provide
such benefits should probably receive some kind of compensation
or inducement. Optimal Technologies CEO Roland Schoettle suggests
that these might come, for example, "through appropriately
structured ancillary power markets, where these benefits are
quantified and ranked as alternatives." DG resource optimization
on a grid, he adds, "would make certain that all the
lowest cost-benefit alternatives would be known and ranked"
in utility management decisions, "not just the traditionally
obvious ones using standard utility methods."
Schoettle's AEMPFAST also assessed SVP customer demand
response measures designed for reducing system peak demand.
AEMPFAST's study established that demand response, wherever
onsite power is applied, has greater system benefits in certain
locations within a distribution system than in others. Hence,
the widely asserted "safety risk" to grid security,
so often leveled at DG projects, is just the opposite of the
truth: Risks are actually lowered by the presence of DG, AEMPFAST
learned. Again, says Evans, utilities "would be acting
in their self-interest" by giving out carefully targeted
incentives to DG adopters, especially where the result is
peak-demand reduction.
Evans says other kinds of grid benefits accrue, including
"all network-related, avoided, or deferred additions";
improved supply-demand margins; reduced dependence on electricity
spot markets; deferred costs; reduced fuel costs; lowered
emissions and related costs; and easier integration of future
customer-driven onsite power projects into the grid. Lastly,
with customer-owned DG in the right places, low-voltage buses
can sometimes be eliminated outright.
All in all, then, grids can be "tuned up" with
DG networks and made more efficient, says Evans, "by
minimizing real power losses and reactive power consumption."
To illustrate, Evans notes that on a 60-kV main feeder (such
as at SVP) at a transmission-to-distribution stepdown point
where the feeder connects to a 12-kV line (and that, in turn,
to low-voltage buses), a system will typically show voltage
variability. Although this isn't a problem from an engineering
standpoint, he says, "It's waste, and it presents
an opportunity for optimization." By carefully measuring
these and assorted other losses, then determining and ranking
how they'd be reduced by a customer-installed generator
nearby, a grid-improvement value results. And again, in incentive
terms, a portion should be rebated to the adopter.
Another example: A customer installing a 150-kW combined
heat and power system might allow for eliminating a nearby
low-voltage bus, or might flatten the overall voltage profile
on that 12-kV line. The current would become more consistent.
This would reduce wastage, thereby saving the utility something
in the low four-figures each year.
DG is but one of several solutions to be applied systematically
in a well-optimized grid. Others include, Evans says, "More
automated remote switching, changeable topology, controllable
capacitors, distribution automation, sophisticated demand-response
programs," and assorted others. "That's the
direction this will head to. Distributed generation is maybe
the most important piece of that, but it is not the only piece."
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Siting for Maximum
Benefit
Back, now, to the question of precisely where
generators should go, and their potential dollar value. Here
AEMPFAST's tools for DG-on-grid analysis are able to integrate
complex interrelated functions: system security, voltage profiles,
reliability, congestion, minimum loss, minimum generation
cost, minimum emission, minimum maintenance, locational marginal
costs, congestion mitigation, and sophisticated asset optimization.
Schoettle adds that his product "is not based on the
mathematical engines now prevalent," and so "does
not suffer from their limitations." AEMPFAST analyzes
a grid's physical condition, virtually in real time (or with
only a few seconds' lag) and seeks to give system engineers
best-possible resource deployment choices. In so doing, it
also ranks every component as to its net benefit, and to meeting
the optimization objectives. These, says Schoettle, "can
be multiple and varied, and can include both engineering and
business objectives." Even very fine detail and micro-analysis
is possible. Evans notes that in the SVP study, "We could
actually go down to line segmentbyline segment"
to detect waste and to quantify savings opportunities, as
well as doing the assessment device by device. Schoettle also
notes that customer onsite power projects can often accomplish
distribution savings and efficiencies "if located and
sized optimally" to solve problems, "as well as
serving the customer cost-effectively."
With these win-win criteria in mind, then, Evan's team
launched the DG siting analysis. He assumed non-exporting
generators that were switchable and dispatchable.
In the first what-if scenario, the DGs were limited to the
light load on the feeder, meaning they could add only a maximum
of 15% of the feeder power (meeting the cap under California's
Rule 21 limit for expedited interconnections).
Given this input, then, AEMPFAST identified 382 customer
sites where DG would help the grid significantly. The aggregated
total in new generation would be optimize at 13.6 MW; that's
about 36 kW per generator, totaling 3.4% of peak load.
A second what-if scenario optimized Silicon Valley Power's
light feeders. California grid connection rules are more liberal
here, permitting up to 60% of the adjacent load to come from
non-exporting DGs. On these, Evan's group found 346 prime
customer sites for onsite power, totaling 38 MW (9.7% of total
peak load and about 110 kW per generator).
In AEMPFAST's number-crunching came one surprising twist:
The data showed that relatively small DGs, averaging much
less than 150 kW, can carry almost disproportionate impact.
In fact, one of the highest-prioritized potential DG sites
that AEMPFAST flagged called for a mere 7 kW to support one
customer's 14-kW load. Nevertheless, this particular
locale was so critical to the grid, Evans explains, that "adding
capacity there would benefit the entire system."
For multiple reasons, small-footprint power projects are
generally easier to position near the feeder loads than are
megawatt-size ones. Likewise, smaller generators can more
readily be optimally sized to match loads. "The sweet
spot here," Evans says, "tends to fall somewhere
between 100 and 300 kilowatts." In this size range, scores
of cogen installations turned out to be very cost-effective
for customers, especially when the analysis could assume low
or subsidized up-front costs.
Next, the very best win-win deals carrying the highest value
generally were found to exist near the ends of main feedersan
interesting finding in itself. By adding generation capacity
there, Evans points out, "not only does it benefit the
feeder, but the entire system." Generally speaking, the
more remote the DG positioning, the greater the grid benefit.
Less impressive but still cost-justifiable results emerge
from proposed installations near existing DG plants.
In any event, location-specific analyses like these should
be performed in ideal DG installations in the future, Evans
and Schoettle believe. AEMPFAST does this as part of its site
ranking. With the help of such tools, says Evans, "A
utility can look at multiple permutations and load scenarios,
multiple ways of controlling the units, identifying optimal
locations, and then figuring out how far away from the optimal
performance you get by using different locations."
Quantifying the
Savings
The bottom line? The Silicon Valley gridif fully DG-optimizedcould
achieve an impressive 31% reduction in real power losses.
Along with this would come another 30% reduction in reactive
power consumption, equal to 15.203 MVar. If the recommendations
churned out by AEMPFAST were actually applied, the resulting
reduction in losses would come, as Evans notes, "at three
times the system's average loss rate." These numbers
are particularly impressive, he adds, because SVP was already
relatively well designed, maintained, and operated. In more
stressed-out utility environments potential savings would
be much greater.
Better still, because SVP's grid interconnects with
Pacific Gas & Electric's transmission system, the
latter also benefits to the tune of about 5 MW gained. In
dollar terms, that could easily translate into thousands of
dollars per day during peak loads.
Evans sums up: "These values are significant. They can
be quantified. And they are real benefits to this network."
Even so, he points out, most of that value still remains with
the onsite DG customerwho, after all, has hypothetically
paid for it. Customer outlays yield a windfall to utilities;
as a result, customers should arguably get some of it back.
What It Means
to DG's Future
A second NPT technology study,
to be conducted in 2005 at the much larger, more complex Southern
California Edison (SCE) network, will explore small-generator
impact even more extensively. In scope and scale the SCE study
will be nearly 20 times larger than the SVP demonstration,
Evans notes. The SCE analysis will also look at DG's impact,
for example, on winter peak, light load, and load-growth conditions.
Research funding will come from a $5.4 million grant to Evans'
firm from the CEC.
Beyond such public-private partnerships as these, various
paths to a DG-optimized future are imaginable:
One possible route would be through regulatory commissions
and utility rate-setting bodies. For example, Evans suggests,
if a utility company sought major funding for transmission
and distribution (T&D) upgrades, a panel of commissioners
might require that a DG-friendly assessment first be done,
at least to present an alternative. If the resulting choice
came down to approving $100 million in rate hikes to pay for
more wires or endorsing scores of customer-owned generators,
most regulators would welcome the latter.
Orpositing a more collaborative approachutility
companies might offer financing to selected cogen adopters
on a dollars-per-kilowatt-installed basis. Adopters would
earn rebates by siting generators near particular buses. Deals
would be subject to further terms such as kilowatt output
levels, a non-exporting connection, networkability, lead lag
var capability, and perhaps real-time variable controllable
reactive power production. Cogen plant owners might agree
to run their engines "at least 80% of the time during
peak hours," Evans suggests, while also agreeing to curtail
off-peak operation, or to comply with other terms that might
be required. Given these grid-driven parameters, onsite power
would then become a win-win-win solution for utilities, adopters,
and developers.
At the state agency level, key players working to make DG-optimized
grids and "ultra-networking" happen include the
CEC as well as the California Independent System Operators
(CAISO). The latter oversees most of the state's power
transmission system, and this organization, says David Hawkins,
its manager of special project engineering, "is strongly
supportive of adding more distributed generation" to
relieve transmission loads. DG resources, he believes, "can
provide some real benefits both for customers and for transmission
load relief during times of peak loading." Widespread
implementation of DG, he adds, could become "a wonderful
additional tool to help us avoid having to do major customer
load-shedding." Hawkins served on Evans' technical
advisory committee and is also working with Optimal Technologies
on critical new tools for CAISO.
But before any large-scale deployment of grid-optimized DG
becomes a reality, new technology for dispatching, remote
monitoring, and control systemscurrently under developmentmust
mature (Look for "DG Getting Web-Enabled" in the
March/April issue of Distributed Energy). Potentially hundreds
of DG assets might be networked, and to coordinate them all
engineers will need ways to activate specific ones quickly
and efficiently "to manage loads and avert trouble,"
Hawkins notes. CAISO, he adds, is now teaming up with SCE
and others to implement networked, inter-communicating distributed
resources on a large scale. A demonstration project currently
in the offing will probably turn out to be the largest coordinated
DG application ever implemented.
Money to pay for such R&D will continue to flow to worthy
undertakings like these, adds Mark Rawson, CEC's policy
coordinator for DG and the commission's DG integration
research program manager. CEC has already contributed $100
million (mainly through PIER) to develop and advance distributed
power. PIER's past investments have supported the development
of cleaner-burning and lower-cost generators, among other
causes. Rawson anticipates that as interconnectivity matures,
the CEC will appropriately revise California's energy
policy to expand the role of DG. In turn, CEC's sister
agency, the California Public Utilities Commission (CPUC),
will alter utility rates and policies. Here, Rawson points
out that, beginning early in 2004, the CPUC was already directing
state utilities "to include the implementation of DG
resources in determining distribution planning." In addition,
"To the extent that utilities can determine that DG would
be a more cost-effective solution than a traditional utility
wires solution, the utilities were directed to pursue that
as well."
As for the future at Optimal, Schoettle is promoting AEMPFAST
to utilities and distribution system operators to "solve
previously unsolvable problems" in grid management. Various
current and pending tools that Optimal is offering will make
it easier, faster, and more attractive for engineers to evaluate
and implement DG projects. For example, grid operators can
select DG-supported remedial actions, automate their network
planning and emergency control, and carry out system restoration,
Schoettle says.
Summing up, Evans points out that the icons of our electrical
systembig smokestack power plants and miles of high-tension
linesare more antiquated than ever "and really
quaint, when you think about it." More people are beginning
to realize the obsolescence and inadequacy here. Grids are
poised for being phased out and replaced with an "intelligent
energy infrastructure," he says, "with transmission
and distribution actively managed as an integrated network."
In a modern electrical future, he says, "self-healing
grids" will be capable of seamlessly adjusting to demands,
loads, emergencies, and outages. Loads will be made more responsive
to network conditions. DG resources will be embedded into
grids extensivelytogether with remote generation. Energy
services will be better tailored to meet widely disparate
customer needs. And, when it's all finished, our new
infrastructure will be far less brittle and prone to outages
and much more flexible, customizable, and adaptable than what
we have now.
"Today," Evans says, "we're demonstrating
that these things are feasible and doableand really
not even that tough." As for immediate needs, though,
it's now widely accepted that several of our urban centers
face serious transmission crunches. Space for expansion to
meet load growth no longer exists. Adding T&D isn't
viable, because costs are prohibitive or local communities
raise barriers, he adds. Urban markets especially will increasingly
need their generation and grid-improvement solutions to be
"located much closer to the loads." DG networks
"are the way to go," he says. And, because utilities
stand to gain significantly from DG optimization, "let
them share the benefit," he suggests. "And everyone
is better off."
La Mesa, CAbased writer DAVID ENGLE
specializes in construction-related topics.
DE - January/February
2005
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