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If you believe as I that centralization is antithetical to
our way of lifecertainly to the principles that have
allowed our nation to prosper in a world replete with centralized
regimesthen why do we see its tendrils spreading inexorably
into every aspect of our daily lives
a movement fostered
by the gatekeepers of our major institutions and quite clearly
endorsed by our elected officials who at this very moment
are crafting an energy bill guaranteed to increase
our reliance on an antiquated and insecure electrical power
delivery system.
Security of the system is the issue of primary importance,
and it appears to be the belief of those in whose hands such
decisions lie that centralization is the answer
but I
dont buy it. Nor, it appears, does a majority of people
throughout the country who feel themselves impotent in the
face of frustrating and expensivein all too many cases
catastrophicpower outages. If you own or run a business,
then you know exactly what I mean.
Gauging the Risk
In 2004, St. Louis, MO--based Emerson (NYSE: EMR) commissioned
Decision Analyst Inc., of Arlington, TX, to conduct a Small
Business Power Poll, to determine the attitudes and capabilities
of the small business communitythat segment that generates
40% of our gross domestic product and creates nearly 70% of
all new jobsin the face of threatened power outages.
Here with the sponsors permission are a few of the findings.
- 62% of small businesses do not have any type of backup
power supply.
- 75% say electrical power outages are a threat to their
business, but only 22% feel very prepared to deal with an
outage.
- 80% experienced at least one power outage in 2003 (one
in four experienced three or more outages)
- 58% are interested in adapting big business
backup power technology for their small businesses.
- 56% say a backup power system would give them a competitive
advantage. Agreement in this is twice as high among businesses
that have such systems (82%) compared to businesses that
do not have such systems (40%).
- Chief among their power outage fears is losing valuable
computer data, records, and research.
- Of those experiencing power outages, 29% were without
power for at least eight hours during the longest outage;
19% were without power for at least 16 hours.
In the wake
of the August 2003 power outage,
- 21% conducted an audit to identify electrical power needs
in the event of an outage;
- 35% researched or considered some type of backup electrical
power system; and
- 3% purchased backup power technology. Based on the more
than 6 million small businesses that have recorded payrolls
in the US, that translates into at least 200,000 small businesses
having taken action since the August blackout.
Faith in the grid
not!
- Only one in five is very confident that the power grid
can provide reliable electrical service to businesses.
- The aging power grid (29%) and ravages of Mother Nature
(30%) are viewed as the biggest threats to reliable electrical
power; 9% ranked terrorism as the top threat.
Of the 80% of small businesses that experienced power outages
in 2003, 15% said their longest outage cost $5,000 or more.
Based on the more than 6 million small businesses that have
recorded payrolls in the US, which translates to at least
$4.5 billion in lost revenue and productivity, and untold
billions in losses for Americas other 16 million small
businesses.
These responses to the survey were both predictable and frightening
not only in terms of the sectors vulnerability to power
loss but to the well-being of the nation as a whole. Even
those very large organizations seemingly secure behind onsite
power resources of their own are not immune from loss when
the myriad supplies and services upon which they depend are
interrupted from below.
Options, Options, and More Options
Of the many lessons you may wish to take away from Emersons
survey, none can be more important than the recognition that
big or small, firmly established or scratching to stay solvent,
were all in this together. Yes, backup power can and
must play an important role in your energy security, but in
the final analysis, options from top to bottom are the critical
element
and they come from increased distributed energy
resources, not centralization.
Send
John an e-mail
DE - July/August 2005
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