If youve ever taken
a psychology class, or perhaps if youve done a lot of gambling,
you may be familiar with the puzzle called "Wolfs dilemma."
In its simplest form, it goes something like this: Suppose you and
nine other randomly selected people are isolated in separate rooms,
unable to communicate with each other. Each of you has a button
in front of you, and each is free to push the button or not. All
who do are guaranteed to receive $200 apiece, regardless of what
the others do. If no one pushes the button, each person gets $2,000.
If even one person in 10 pushes it, the ones who didnt will
get nothing at all - also known as the "suckers payoff."
How
trusting are you of your fellow man? Do you go with a sure thing
and push the button? Or hope for the best and refrain, figuring
you have little to lose and potentially a great deal to gain? Do
you imagine the other nine walking away with their windfall and
you, foolish and trusting, standing alone empty-handed?
Wolfs
dilemma, or some variation of it, has been used to debate egoism,
reciprocal altruism, the social contract, and a handful of other
concepts, and in many ways it also resembles the decisions people
who are concerned with water quality make every day. Each time you
act in the interest of your own program, you may be winning a small,
short-term payoff at the expense of something much bigger and much
less certain.
The
10 people might represent 10 separate regulated dischargers to a
303(d)-listed lake, in which case each small victory - less restriction
for one, more for someone else - offers someone temporary reprieve
but doesnt contribute greatly to the big payoff: solving the
long-term beneficial-use problem.
Or
the commodity at stake might be money. Lets say that instead
of 10 people chosen at random, the 10 rooms contain you - the stormwater
manager - and nine other city employees: the chief of police, fire
marshal, zoning administrator, director of parks and recreation,
head of the planning commission, head librarian, and so on. The
sums in question arent $200 and $2,000 but, rather, program
funding or shares of the general tax fund. Paying for improvements
one at a time is like each of you separately pushing the button.
Merging some of your needs into more cost-effective bundles - say,
by considering possible multiple uses whenever something has to
be fixed or replaced, such as resurfacing a ragged city parking
lot with pervious material - is like holding back in the hope that
others will cooperate.
Or,
instead of funding, you might be competing for a share of the publics
(limited, overtaxed) attention. Each of you, pushing the button,
gets a few minutes regard, but you can do that only so many
times before the supply runs out. A concerted, coherent program
- hands off the buttons, please, until we can craft a statement
about what the city (or county or state) is doing with everyones
money - might have greater influence long after individual messages
have faded. Marketers would call it a form of branding, and it helps
make intangibles - which, for so much of the public, stormwater
is - stick in the mind.
Although
some stormwater programs have been around for decades, in many places
"stormwater" is still a relatively new piece of the pie,
or at least a piece in a new shape. A few programs have educated
the public - and the decision-makers - so well that they now have
enviable support, and NPDES Phase II will push more programs to
do the same, but stormwater management as something other than simply
flood control is still a difficult concept for many people. What
could be more natural than rain, after all, and why do we need to
manage it? Cooperation in reaching the public will be especially
lucrative for the stormwater community. Some of what we hope to
offer, in this and future issues of Stormwater, are alternatives
to isolated button-pushing.
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